We’ll eventually have to fight Iran, but should do so at a time of our choosing – not the Mullahs’. In the meantime here’s how we get our hostages back.
The current useless Brit response:
Efforts to secure the release of 15 Royal Navy personnel held by Iran will enter a “different phase” if diplomatic moves fail, Tony Blair has said.
Downing Street said the UK could end up releasing evidence proving the group had not ventured into Iranian waters…
Britain’s former ambassador to Iran, Sir Richard Dalton, said “different phase” could mean generating pressure on Iran from the international community.
“I expect he means that we shall have to step up criticism and generate additional international pressures on Iran,” he said.
Given the failure of Messrs Blair and Dalton’s “criticism” and “pressure” to stop the Mullahs building nukes, that’s a tad optimistic. Here’s a list of phased sanctions, starting nice and getting nasty.
1. Detain 15 of their London diplomats on spying charges
The Mullahs won’t care about their people but they’ll hate looking weak.
2. Expel their ambassador and the rest of their London embassy staff
Say this is “for their own protection” from angry relatives of the hostages.
3. Propose a UN Security Council resolution to stop their refined gas imports
Although the Mullahs ship out oil, they have little refining capacity, so blocking imports would shut them down.
Of course some combination of France, Russia and China will veto this, but that provides cover for…
4. Prepare a special forces raid to rescue the hostages
This would be an Entebbe style raid, for which we need the exact location of the hostages.
5. Mess up their finances
Much of the world’s financial transactions go through London, so it may be easy to lose or delay any connected with Iran.
6. Locate the hostages by announcing them KIA
The Mullahs are bound to respond with pictures and videos of happy, smiling prisoners.
Analysis of these images may allow us to locate them. If not the Brits should announce the images are forged and some hostages are presumed dead.
The Mullahs will then grant access to prove the hostages are alive, and that will probably enable us to locate them. In that case…
6. Launch the special forces raids
Rescue the hostages.
If that fails…
7. Schedule a joint nuclear submarine exercise with Israel
That would be the entire Brit nuclear powered fleet of ballistic missile and attack subs working with the Israel’s second-strike subs. The Mullahs will hate this.
Of course the Israelis would have to hand over the heads of their diplomat gropers, but for this help, they’ll surely oblige.
That should get the Mullahs’ attention.