The League of Nations fell apart when it failed to deliver on its promise to stop a war in Abyssinia, and the UN is headed the same way.
The general weaknesses of the League are illustrated by its specific failures…
Perhaps most famously, in October 1935, Benito Mussolini sent… 400,000 troops to invade Abyssinia (Ethiopia).
The League of Nations condemned Italy’s aggression and imposed economic sanctions in November 1935, but the sanctions were largely ineffective. As Stanley Baldwin, the British Prime Minister, later observed, this was ultimately because no one had the military forces on hand to withstand an Italian attack.
The League limped along after this, but members drifted away and it was powerless to prevent Germany, Italy and Japan prepping WW2.
Here’s the key part of the Franco/US UN resolution (my ellipsis):
Calls for Israel and Lebanon to support a permanent ceasefire and a long-term solution based on the following principles and elements:
— full respect for the Blue Line (Israeli border) by both parties,
— security arrangements to prevent the resumption of hostilities, including the establishment between the Blue Line and the Litani river of an area free of any armed personnel, assets and weapons other than those of the government of Lebanon and of UNIFIL as authorized in paragraph 11, deployed in this area,
— full implementation of the relevant provisions of the Taif Accords, and of resolutions 1559 (2004) and 1680 (2006), that require the disarmament of all armed groups in Lebanon, so that, pursuant to the Lebanese cabinet decision of July 27, 2006, there will be no weapons or authority in Lebanon other than that of the Lebanese state…
The problem for the UN is that if Hizbollah isn’t disarmed, the treaty fails & Israel can resume hostilities when it suits. So the UN has to deliver, and yet nobody wants to fight (my emphasis & explanatory ellipsis):
The United Nations got pledges of 3,500 troops for an expanded UN peacekeeping force in Lebanon, but it was unclear whether the soldiers represented the right mix of countries and units and could deploy very quickly.
Bangladesh (most corrupt nation in the world) made the largest offer of up to 2,000 troops, but France (France), which was expected to be the dominant contingent, offered just 200 new troops, in addition to the 200 already sent.
Italy (most corrupt nation in old Europe) has said it could quickly send as many as 3,000 soldiers – up from its current contribution of about 50 – but Premier Romano Prodi’s office (who just withdrew all Italian troops from Iraq) said Thursday that he was pushing for explicit ground rules.
Brunei (pop 379,444), Indonesia (almost as corrupt as Bangladesh & is releasing their Bali bombers), Italy (see above), Malaysia (only a tad less corrupt than Italy) and Turkey (very corrupt) are among other countries that said they could commit troops to the expanded UNIFIL.
German Chancellor Angela Merkel said Thursday that Germany would not send combat troops as part of the contemplated international peacekeeping force, but may offer naval forces to help patrol the Lebanese coastline (that’ll put the fear of Allah in the Hizbollah windsurfer squads).
There’s no chance this coalition will be prepared to die fighting Hizbollah, and they’ll be even more corruptible than the previous UN force.
So the big war will come, history will repeat itself,and the UN will fade away. Sob.