People Won’t Fight For Lost Causes

February 8, 2007

The new SecDef and his top general are is either fools or a knaves – if they’d been in their jobs in 1943, we’d now be enslaved. Now they’ll just leave the MidEast that way.

Here’s their response to the Dem cut-n-runners:

The Defense Department’s top civilian and its top military officer, undercutting the White House and other senior Republicans yesterday, said Congress doesn’t endanger troop morale by voting on nonbinding resolutions opposing President Bush’s Iraq reinforcement plan.

“From the standpoint of the troops, I believe that they understand how our legislature works and that they understand that there’s going to be this kind of debate,” said Joint Chiefs of Staff Chairman Gen. Peter Pace, effectively taking out of play an argument that had been made by Mr. Bush’s spokesman and other top Republicans, who had warned resolutions disagreeing with the troop increase plan would send bad signals.

Joining Gen. Pace in testifying to the House Armed Services Committee, Defense Secretary Robert M. Gates said the troops are “sophisticated enough to understand” that the debate is about a way to move forward in Iraq.

Imagine how the Nazis and Japanese would have reacted in mid 1943 to the Brit and US opposition parties committing to stop fighting by mid 1945.

Our enemies would have simply played the time, inflicting enough casualties to buttress our appeasers. Their troops would have been energized – people accept appalling privation if they know there’s a definite end in sight. And our own troops would have avoided combat – why die for a cause that’s lost? In consequence:

  1. The allied air offensive against Germany would have fizzled – our air crews would not have accepted massive casualties in a lost cause.
  2. The Normandy invasion would probably not have happened – and if it had, the Germans would have destroyed it with their Ardennes offensive (when they had just 5 months to the final whistle).
  3. The Japanese would have pushed the Brits out of Burma and invaded India, gaining its vast natural resources.
  4. We would not have developed the A bomb – why pour money into it when you’re going to surrender?
  5. The Nazis would eventually have gotten an A bomb – today’s bomb making centrifuges were developed by captured Nazi scientists.
  6. And the world would now be Jew-free.

So, whatever Gates and Pace say, our troops in Iraq are going to hunker down, grieve comrades that died for nothing, and count the days to their withdrawal and the subsequent genocide.

The only thing standing in the way of that shameful outcome are the will and faith of the President of the United States.

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Time To Bleed Iran

February 8, 2007

Six US helicopters have been downed in less than 3 weeks, almost certainly by the Iranian Republican Guard. To stop that, we must take the war to the enemy.

A U.S. Marine transport helicopter crashed in flames Wednesday in a field northwest of Baghdad, killing all seven people aboard, the U.S. military said. It was the sixth U.S. aircraft reported lost in less than three weeks and the latest sign of growing problems with aviation in Iraq.

An Iraqi farmer who lives about a half mile from the crash site said he heard a missile fired moments before the crash, which took place in an insurgent-infested region.

“The helicopter was flying and passed over us, then we heard the firing of a missile,” the farmer…said. “The helicopter then turned into a ball of fire. It flew in a circle twice and then went down.”

These kills were probably the work of the Russian SA-16 9M313 GIMLET, a third-generation man-portable missile similar to the Stinger. It’s hard for a slow mover to decoy or dodge it below 10,000 feet:

The 9M313 missile of the SA-16 employs an IR guidance system using proportional convergence logic, and an improved two-color seeker, presumably IR and UV). The seeker is sensitive enough to home in on airframe radiation, and the two-color sensitivity is designed to minimize vulnerability to flares.

Iran has these weapons and Jane’s says it supplied them to the Hizbollah:

Iran is to supply the Islamic Resistance – the armed wing of…Hizbullah… – with a quantity of surface-to-air missile (SAM) systems over the coming months, Western diplomatic sources have confirmed to Jane’s.

According to the sources, Tehran will supply Hizbullah with Russian-produced SAMs, including the Strela-2/2M (SA-7 ‘Grail’), Strela-3 (SA-14 ‘Gremlin’) and Igla-1E (SA-16 ‘Gimlet’) man-portable SAM systems.

So Iran is for sure supplying these weapons, and it’s probably operating them too – they need substantial operator training

The coalition depends on helicopters for resupply and close ground support, so what to do?

Modern flares are tuned to decoy the SA-16 – the Reuters forgery used a picture of an Israeli F-16 launching them. But there’s not much time to launch them from a slow mover – the SA-16 flies at Mach 3. A better helicopter defense is the Directed InfraRed CounterMeasure (DIRCM) – that jams the IR homer. But this will take a long time to deploy, and even when it’s in place the Iranians can just switch to a non-IR seeker.

So the solution is to turn off the faucet, and that can be done is by damaging raids on the Republican Guard bases supporting Iraqi terror. An example is the Brit/Australian/New Zealand special forces raids into Indonesia in the 1960s that stopped Indonesian meddling in Malaysia.

Our special forces must be itching to take a crack at the Republican Guard, and now’s the time to let them loose.